The Indian Premier League Governing Council is to meet in Delhi on Friday to finalise the new home venues for defending champions Mumbai Indians and league debutants, Rising Pune Supergiants after the Bombay High Court ordered the games to be shifted out of drought-hit Maharashtra. (Full IPL coverage) “There is a meeting of the IPL GC tomorrow in Delhi. The new (home) venues of the two teams will be finalised,” a top IPL official told PTI on Thursday.”Although RPS have indicated their preference for Visakhapatnam post the final game at their designated home venue Maharashtra Cricket Association stadium on the outskirts of Pune, the IPL was yet to approve the same,” the official explained. (IPL Points Table) “Both the new venues will be decided tomorrow,” he said.According to informed sources, MI have been told their new home venue is a choice between Mohali, Dharamsala and Kanpur after their earlier preferred venue, Jaipur, has run into rough weather following the filing of a PIL there citing water scarcity in the Pink City.RPS’s last home game in Pune would be the Maharashtra Derby against the defending champions on May 1.Mumbai are playing their final game at the Wankhede this season against Gautam Gambhir’s Kolkata Knight Riders.
There’s really only one competitive match on the docket Wednesday, but it’s an intriguing one.Australia vs. Netherlands: 12 p.m. EDTSpain vs. Chile: 3 p.m. EDTCameroon vs. Croatia: 6 p.m. EDTIN BRIEFSee our World Cup predictions for the latest probabilities. IN DEPTHThe best matchup of the day — by far — is La Furia Roja versus La Roja, Spain against Chile, a clash that could have huge implications for the advancement scenarios of Group B. Here’s the big one: If Chile wins and the Netherlands wins or draws against Australia (a 91.5 percent proposition, according to the FiveThirtyEight prediction model), Spain will be eliminated and fail to advance to the knockout round, a shocking fate for the reigning champs and one of the leading pre-tournament favorites.How did we get here? Chile took care of business in its opener against Australia, beating the Socceroos 3-1 behind a great game from Alexis Sanchez, the best Chilean player according to our Soccer Power Index (SPI) player ratings. Meanwhile, Spain … um, how can we put this? Spain could have had a better second half against the Netherlands. In fact, after being slaughtered by the Dutch, Vicente del Bosque’s side dropped from third in the SPI rankings on Friday morning to eighth on Wednesday — one spot behind Chile.Spain came into the tournament with the best SPI defensive rating of any team in the world, but it must get a vastly improved performance out of goalkeeper Iker Casillas and its back line if it’s to beat Chile, SPI’s fifth-best team on offense. Spain’s World Cup future could depend on it.The next-closest match figures to be Cameroon versus Croatia, in what our numbers predict will be a low-scoring affair. Croatia is coming off a defeat against Brazil that was equal measures frustrating and promising; it conceded three goals, including two to Neymar (one coming after a somewhat questionable penalty call), but also held a lead for 18 minutes and was able to generate chances at the other end of the pitch. If Croatia beats Cameroon on Wednesday, advancement is still a possibility (although Mexico’s tie with Brazil on Tuesday didn’t help the Croatian cause). Meanwhile, Cameroon hung tough against Mexico in its first outing, and a 1-0 loss against a top-25 team wasn’t a bad debut for a side SPI considers one of the worst in the World Cup field. But it’s not going to get much easier for the Indomitable Lions — Croatia is a solid favorite against them here, and, of course, Brazil waits in the wings.Brazil isn’t going to lose a lot of sleep over that one, nor is the heavily favored Netherlands going to fret about Wednesday’s match against Australia. Our model gives the Dutch a 73.6 percent probability of winning, and in concert with Chile’s chances of a win or draw against Spain, that means there’s a 47.5 percent chance the Netherlands cruises into the knockout stage before the day is done.YesterdayBrazil entered Tuesday 6-0-0 all-time in World Cup play against CONCACAF teams. In fact, Costa Rica was the only CONCACAF side ever to score against Brazil in the World Cup (in the 2002 group stage). And Brazil has had particular success against Mexico, winning all three of their previous World Cup matches for a total goal margin of 11-0.Although Mexico didn’t score on Tuesday, El Tri became the first team from outside UEFA/CONMEBOL to take a point from Brazil in the World Cup.Based on the statistics, Mexico’s going scoreless doesn’t appear all that surprising. Mexico had four shots in the first half, all from outside the penalty area, and none was on target. Mexico managed just four touches in the attacking penalty area in the first half; Brazil had 13. Mexico ended the match with an average shot distance of 28.5 yards, the second-longest in a match thus far.Much more surprising was Brazil’s failure to find the back of the net. According to SPI, the odds of Mexico holding Brazil scoreless were just 4.8 percent. The star of the match was Mexican goalkeeper Guillermo Ochoa, who has led or tied for the lead in saves in France’s Ligue 1 each of the last three seasons playing for AC Ajaccio. Ochoa ended the match with six saves, tied for the most by a Mexican goalkeeper in any World Cup since 1966.Perhaps Ochoa’s best save was a diving stop of a Neymar header in the 26th minute. Neymar was the driving force for Brazil in the match, leading the team in shots (three) and shots on target (two), as well as chances created (four). Yet it was all for naught.By defying the odds and picking up a precious point, Mexico’s chances of advancing to the knockout round increased from 58.7 percent to 80.2 percent. — Jacob Nitzberg, statistics analyst, ESPNOFF THE PITCHLet’s play a word association game. What country do you think of when you hear about kangaroos? Vegemite? “Mate”? What about tulips? Windmills? Coffee shops?Yes, Australia and the Netherlands both have pretty distinct international identities. But does the two countries’ relationship confirm these stereotypes? OECD data provides some interesting insights. The largest single export from Australia to the Netherlands in 2011 was rapeseed (used for animal feed, vegetable oil and biodiesel) at 24 percent, followed by coal at 22 percent — in case the Dutch get inspired to throw some shrimp on the barbie. The Netherlands’ main exports to Australia were machines and chemical products, but there was also $258 million in tobacco exports and $225 million in flower, bulb, seed and live plant exports in 2011, so it looks like the Dutch are learning from the Aussies, as well. — Hayley MunguiaFURTHER READINGSpain Must Beat Chile If It Hopes to Advance in the World CupThe End of Ghana’s Golden GenerationUSMNT’s Bald Eagle of Glory, John Anthony BrooksCLARIFICATION (June 18, 11:30 a.m.): An earlier version of this post was confusing on the Netherlands’ chances of beating or drawing against Australia. The chance of a Dutch win in Wednesday’s match is 73.6 percent, and the chance of a draw is 17.9 percent. That means the chance of the Netherlands winning or drawing against Australia is 91.5 percent.
The more things change in the NFL, the more they stay the same. Fresh off of their sixth Super Bowl win with Tom Brady and Bill Belichick at the helm, the defending champion New England Patriots open the 2019 season as our favorite to win again. The rest of the top contenders are similar to last season’s as well: the Kansas City Chiefs, New Orleans Saints, Los Angeles Rams and Philadelphia Eagles round out the top five in Super Bowl odds, according to our predictions.But our NFL Elo model has changed in a somewhat significant way. You can read more about how it all works here, but in a nutshell, we have added a number of wrinkles to make our football picks more accurate:Quarterback adjustments. We hinted at this over the summer, but we now track rolling performance ratings1Based on a regression between Total QBR yards above replacement and basic box score numbers (including rushing stats) from a given game, adjusted for the quality of opposing defenses. for each QB in the league, which can then be compared with a team’s own rolling QB rating to adjust its Elo in games with a different quarterback starting.2This is very similar to the way we handle starting-pitcher adjustments in our MLB Elo model. (Related to this, we have a new interactive page that shows the relative quality of every quarterback in the league.)3Initial ratings for rookies are based on draft position, ranging from a 0 for an undrafted free agent to a +113 for a No. 1 overall pick like Arizona’s Kyler Murray. JacksonvilleN. Foles+914987.835242 ClevelandB. Mayfield+915168.441252 How we’re predicting the AFC North race Chance To… TeamStarting QBvs. avgElo RatingProj. WinsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Super Bowl TeamStarting QBvs. avgElo RatingProj. WinsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Super Bowl Chance To… MinnesotaK. Cousins+1215408.543273 N.Y. JetsS. Darnold-4814527.124111 TeamStarting QBvs. avgElo RatingProj. WinsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Super Bowl Last year, the defending champion Eagles suffered a historic hangover to start their 2018 season, but eventually righted the ship to make the playoffs and even win a first-round game. Armed with Elo’s eighth-ranked QB (Carson Wentz), a talented supporting cast and one of the easiest schedules in the NFL, our model thinks Philadelphia should be division favorites in 2019 — particularly if the Eagles have better injury luck. The defending East champ Cowboys might have something to say about the Eagles being favorites, however, regardless of the holdout of RB Ezekiel Elliott. We rank QB Dak Prescott ninth in Elo, right behind Wentz. Once again trailing in the division are the Giants and Redskins; Washington has the better Elo rating but is slightly less likely to make the playoffs because of a tougher schedule than that of New York. Fittingly, both teams have mediocre veteran QBs (Eli Manning and Case Keenum) trying to fend off highly drafted rookies (Daniel Jones and Dwayne Haskins). PhiladelphiaC. Wentz+2015869.863%49%7% The playoffs are different. We found that differences in talent between opposing teams tend to be amplified in the NFL postseason, so now Elo differentials are multiplied by 1.2 before computing the expected win probabilities and point spreads for playoff games.Altogether, these changes improved our historical predictions by quite a bit in backtesting, so we’re feeling confident that our 2019 picks will be better than ever before.6You might notice that we don’t have a dedicated factor for defense included in the model. For one thing, defense would implicitly be part of a team’s non-quarterback Elo rating; for another thing, it was difficult to find specific defensive variables (such as coordinators) which improved predictive accuracy — perhaps because defense is notoriously difficult to predict between seasons. For cases below where we do need to refer to a team’s projected defensive quality, we used ESPN’s Football Power Index projections for the upcoming season.And what are those picks, exactly? Let’s run down what our Elo model thinks of each division in the NFL, starting with… AtlantaM. Ryan+6715338.339233 The AFC South experienced a dramatic shakeup when Andrew Luck retired two weeks ago, giving the division a whole new favorite: the Texans. Now, Houston is in somewhat tenuous possession of that distinction, with No. 6-ranked QB Deshaun Watson leading the way — despite last weekend’s bombshell trade that shipped star pass-rusher Jadeveon Clowney to Seattle. The Titans aren’t far behind Houston, although QB Marcus Mariota has regressed over the past few years: In Week 12 of the 2016 season, his Elo adjustment would have been 61 points higher than an average quarterback; now it’s 34 points below average. The Jaguars are right in the mix as well, thanks in part to the acquisition of former Eagles backup Nick Foles; Foles adds 14 points of Elo compared with the team’s long-term historical QB rating (i.e., Blake Bortles). Finally, the Colts went from first to last in Elo’s division prediction — literally overnight — after Luck retired. Backup Jacoby Brissett is worth about 90 fewer Elo points by himself than Luck would have been — a huge blow to Indy’s chances of making a return trip to the playoffs. Even so, this is the most uncertain division race in the league. How we’re predicting the NFC East race L.A. RamsJ. Goff-915889.660%46%7% How we’re predicting the AFC East race How we’re predicting the NFC West race Chance To… L.A. ChargersP. Rivers+415809.659366 Quarterback ratings are relative to the average NFL team’s long-term rolling QB performance and are included in the listed Elo ratings. Simulations are updated as of Sept. 3, 2019.Source: ESPN N.Y. GiantsE. Manning-2714246.4179<1 What would Vegas do? In the past, our preseason ratings would simply be each team’s final rating from the previous season, reverted to the league’s average Elo rating by one-third. But our new system also incorporates ratings derived from a team’s over/under win total according to the Las Vegas sportsbooks, giving those twice the weight of mean-reverted Elo when setting a team’s preseason rating. HoustonD. Watson+2915338.443%32%3% TeamStarting QBvs. avgElo RatingProj. WinsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Super Bowl The Chiefs are the second-most-likely team to win the Super Bowl, trailing only the Patriots. One of the biggest reasons: Elo ranks Patrick Mahomes as the fourth-most-valuable QB in the league behind Roethlisberger, Matt Ryan and Drew Brees. Although K.C. will probably regress some after last year’s breakout (we think the Chiefs’ point differential will fall from +144 to +79), and the defense is no better than average (it ranks 16th in ESPN’s preseason Football Power Index), we think this is the team most likely to dethrone New England. The Chargers aren’t running very far behind, either, ranking sixth in overall Elo. L.A. didn’t do much over the offseason — and its trademark injury problems are already cropping up — but this remains one of the most talented rosters in the game. The gap between this division’s top two and bottom two is vast. The Broncos upgraded under center with former Ravens QB Joe Flacco, but he’s still mediocre at best. Late summer for the Raiders has been a circus even by the standards of a “Hard Knocks” team; maybe Brown will improve QB Derek Carr’s numbers, but the team has plenty of other question marks. Oakland and Denver won’t be helped by playing the two toughest schedules in the league, either. BaltimoreL. Jackson-4015278.441263 Chance To… DetroitM. Stafford-2214586.922121 ChicagoM. Trubisky+1215669.152%37%5% BuffaloJ. Allen-1214757.630151 Kansas CityP. Mahomes+59161510.369%50%9% Quarterback ratings are relative to the average NFL team’s long-term rolling QB performance and are included in the listed Elo ratings. Simulations are updated as of Sept. 3, 2019.Source: ESPN MiamiR. Fitzpatrick-213895.5104<1 Green BayA. Rodgers+2815228.238243 How we’re predicting the NFC South race TeamStarting QBvs. avgElo RatingProj. WinsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Super Bowl Quarterback ratings are relative to the average NFL team’s long-term rolling QB performance and are included in the listed Elo ratings. Simulations are updated as of Sept. 29, 2019.Source: ESPN At the top of the NFC South, we have Drew Brees and the Saints coming in as favorites to win the division for a third straight year. Elo rates Brees as the league’s third-best QB, even though he sputtered down the stretch of last season and will turn 41 in January. Fortunately for New Orleans, its supporting cast appears to be good enough to help ease Brees into old age, ranking eighth in QB-independent Elo.9I.e., the team’s adjusted Elo rating if Brees were to be replaced with an average starter at quarterback. As for the Falcons, Matt Ryan is No. 2 in our QB rankings, but the rest of the team ranks 25th in QB-independent Elo. That’s more an indictment of a defense that ranks 23rd in preseason projected FPI than an offense that still includes hyper-productive WR Julio Jones, but Atlanta is hoping that a coaching staff of all new coordinators can help Ryan. The Panthers are still only three seasons removed from a Super Bowl appearance, but they’ve gone exactly 24-24 since then. Elo calls for more of the same this season, with an 8-8 projected record, although Carolina does have the No. 10 QB in our rankings (Cam Newton) and a respectable 38 percent chance of getting back to the playoffs. Finally, the Buccaneers are hoping to end the franchise’s postseason drought at 11 seasons — but they need to improve on last year’s horrid defensive performance and get more consistency from both Jameis Winston and a passing attack that had the third-highest game-to-game QB Elo variance10Trailing only the Rams and the Nathan Peterman-led Bills. of any team in 2018. CincinnatiA. Dalton-4014146.2158<1 This is the tightest division race in the NFC. The Bears are favored to win again, though Mitchell Trubisky is Elo’s second-lowest rated QB in the North. (He’s 13th overall, so it mainly speaks to the quality of passers in this division.) On the other side of the ball, the amount of talent on Chicago’s defense is impressive, a necessary component as the Bears are hoping to repeat as last year’s stingiest defense in terms of points allowed. The Vikings come in slightly lower but are still 13th overall by the Elo rankings. So should we blame QB Kirk Cousins for Minnesota’s disappointing 2018 season? Probably not. Although his Elo rating wasn’t as high as during his 2016 or 2017 campaigns, Cousins was good for most of last year, and he enters 2019 as our 12th-ranked quarterback. But the best QB Elo in the division belongs to Aaron Rodgers of the Packers. Even if former coach Mike McCarthy didn’t always put him in the best position to succeed, Rodgers still had solid numbers last season and is currently ranked seventh in QB Elo. (It’s the rest of the roster that’s holding Green Bay back from a division probability better than that 24 percent.) Last, we have the Lions. They project to finish fourth, with QB Matthew Stafford coming off his worst season in years and a second-year coach already on the hot seat. But we do call for Detroit to return to its rightful place in the NFL standings, with roughly a 7-9 record, after last season’s 6-10 hiatus. DenverJ. Flacco-1614626.82091 DallasD. Prescott+1815478.949334 TennesseeM. Mariota-3415027.836252 WashingtonC. Keenum-2414276.31691 San FranciscoJ. Garoppolo-2114807.428171 Travel distance and rest matter. We used to give a blanket home-field advantage of 65 Elo points for every game that wasn’t at a neutral site. Now, we modify our home-field effect4Which is worth a flat adjustment of 55 Elo points. using the distance the visiting team needed to travel to get to the game, docking a team by 4 points of Elo for every 1,000 miles traveled.5This effect is not applied to international games, though it is used for the Super Bowl. Teams also perform better after a bye week (including teams that don’t play during the opening week of the playoffs), so we now give a bonus of 25 Elo points whenever a team is coming into a game fresh and extra-rested. PittsburghB. Roethlisberger+8715699.558%41%5% OaklandD. Carr-2614135.8125<1 Chance To… New EnglandT. Brady+52164011.180%69%14% IndianapolisJ. Brissett-5514797.328191 TeamStarting QBvs. avgElo RatingProj. WinsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Super Bowl As we said above, the Patriots are not only the division favorites (for what feels like the millionth consecutive season) but are also the model’s top Super Bowl pick. Their fate is tied to Tom Brady continuing to play well at an age when basically no other QB has done that, of course, and he’ll have to do it without favorite security blanket Rob Gronkowski, who retired in March. But Brady hasn’t shown many signs of slowing down yet, and he’ll get to face the NFL’s easiest schedule7According to the average Elo ratings of New England’s regular-season opponents, adjusted for expected starting QBs and home-field advantage. in 2019. Perhaps surprisingly, Elo gives the Bills a slight edge over the Jets for second place in the East. Both teams’ sophomore QBs (Josh Allen and Sam Darnold) played well down the stretch last season, though our model likes Allen a bit more. New York had the more eventful offseason, signing Le’Veon Bell and abruptly firing GM Mike Maccagnan, but the Bills might have made steadier progress. And the Dolphins bring up the rear, though they have the division’s second-highest rated Elo QB in newcomer Ryan Fitzpatrick. (Amid questions of Miami tanking, Vegas gives the Phins 500-to-1 Super Bowl odds, the worst in football.) Quarterback ratings are relative to the average NFL team’s long-term rolling QB performance and are included in the listed Elo ratings. Simulations are updated as of Sept. 3, 2019.Source: ESPN TeamStarting QBvs. avgElo RatingProj. WinsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Super Bowl New OrleansD. Brees+61160410.063%46%8% How we’re predicting the AFC West race CarolinaC. Newton+1415158.338223 Chance To… Tampa BayJ. Winston+714466.61791 Quarterback ratings are relative to the average NFL team’s long-term rolling QB performance and are included in the listed Elo ratings. Simulations are updated as of Sept. 3, 2019.Source: ESPN SeattleR. Wilson+1415458.746314 Quarterback ratings are relative to the average NFL team’s long-term rolling QB performance and are included in the listed Elo ratings. Simulations are updated as of Sept. 3, 2019.Source: ESPN Chance To… TeamStarting QBvs. avgElo RatingProj. WinsMake PlayoffsWin DivisionWin Super Bowl Quarterback ratings are relative to the average NFL team’s long-term rolling QB performance and are included in the listed Elo ratings. Simulations are updated as of Sept. 3, 2019.Source: ESPN How we’re predicting the NFC North race Quarterback ratings are relative to the average NFL team’s long-term rolling QB performance and are included in the listed Elo ratings. Simulations are updated as of Sept. 3, 2019.Source: ESPN Chance To… Rumors of the Steelers’ demise appear to have been greatly exaggerated. Despite a tumultuous offseason that involved officially losing Bell8The running back sat out all of last season as part of a contractual dispute. and also shipping receiver Antonio Brown to the Raiders, Pittsburgh remains the top-ranked team in the North. Part of that is thanks to Ben Roethlisberger, who checks in as Elo’s No. 1 overall QB, and part of it is because the Steelers have one of the league’s easiest schedules. The Ravens and Browns are neck-and-neck behind them; Elo is skeptical about Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson after he posted not-so-great numbers as a rookie, but it thinks his supporting cast is superior to Baker Mayfield’s in Cleveland — despite the Browns’ big offseason (hi, Odell) and general hype level heading into 2019. Meanwhile, the Bengals are a distant No. 4, as QB Andy Dalton has seen better days, and the team is breaking in a first-time head coach (Zac Taylor). ArizonaK. Murray-5013895.5106<1 The Rams are coming off a Super Bowl run, and there were times last season when they looked unbeatable, not least because of a GOAT-level performance by defensive lineman Aaron Donald. But with questions remaining about QB Jared Goff and RB Todd Gurley — to say that neither were major factors in the playoffs would be an understatement — L.A. might be due for a regression, even if Elo does still consider the Rams division favorites. A number of signs point to a decline, from L.A.’s 6-1 record in close games last year and favorable bounces in recovering fumbles, to a more difficult schedule and even the possibility of adverse effects due to more injuries. Elo thinks the Rams’ point differential will drop from +143 to +58 this season. Behind them, the Seahawks have the division’s best (slash only above-average) Elo QB in Russell Wilson, and they did some offseason shuffling — Clowney and Ziggy Ansah will replace Frank Clark on the pass rush, for example. But Seattle mostly looks like the same good-but-not-great team it was last season. The 49ers will get a do-over with Jimmy Garoppolo after the QB was injured three games into the 2018 season. But is Jimmy G. any good? Elo’s still not sure. It ranks Garoppolo 22nd among starters heading into 2019, despite his hefty price tag. All three of those teams could potentially contend for the division, though. For the Cardinals, that looks like a long shot at best with the tandem of rookie QB Kyler Murray and first-year head coach Kliff Kingsbury. Elo gives Arizona the worst rating and tied for the lowest playoff odds of any team in the NFL this season. How we’re predicting the AFC South race
March 22, 2019 KUSI Newsroom, 00:00 00:00 spaceplay / pause qunload | stop ffullscreenshift + ←→slower / faster ↑↓volume mmute ←→seek . seek to previous 12… 6 seek to 10%, 20% … 60% XColor SettingsAaAaAaAaTextBackgroundOpacity SettingsTextOpaqueSemi-TransparentBackgroundSemi-TransparentOpaqueTransparentFont SettingsSize||TypeSerif MonospaceSerifSans Serif MonospaceSans SerifCasualCursiveSmallCapsResetSave SettingsSAN DIEGO (KUSI) -Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vermont, a candidate for the Democratic presidential nomination, will hold a rally in San Diego today for the first time since launching his 2020 campaign.The campaign stop is part of a West Coast swing by Sanders that also includes rallies in Los Angeles and San Francisco. He has also made stops in early primary and caucus states like Iowa and New Hampshire since announcing his candidacy last month.Sanders last campaigned in California in October to stump for local candidates like Rep. Mike Levin, D-Oceanside, in the lead-up to the November mid-term election. When he ran for the Democratic nomination in 2016, he held rallies in National City and Vista that each drew several thousand people.Sanders joined striking workers outside Ronald Reagan UCLA Medical Center in Los Angeles Wednesday, when thousands of University of California research and technical workers picketed at facilities across the state in a one-day strike called amid contentious contract negotiations.“The University of California is one of the great university systems in the world, but it is not good enough to be a great university,” Sanders told the cheering crowd. “… It is not good enough to have a great hospital or medical center. The University of California must not be a corporate-type employer. The University of California must be a model employer.”“It must be an employer that respects its workers. It must be a employer that treats its workers with dignity and it must sit down with its union and negotiate in good faith,” Sanders said. “I want to thank you for standing up and fighting back, because the struggle that you are fighting here is a struggle that exists in every state in this country. … The working families of this country are demanding an economy that works for all of us, and that can begin right here.”Sanders, 77, is considered one of the front runners in a field for the Democratic nomination that could eventually include as many as two dozen candidates. California Sen. Kamala Harris, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, New York Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand and former El Paso, Texas Rep. Beto O’Rourke are among the more than 15 candidates to enter the race to date. Posted: March 22, 2019 Updated: 10:27 PM Categories: Local San Diego News FacebookTwitter Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders campaigns in SD KUSI Newsroom
June 11, 2019 Categories: Local San Diego News, National & International News, Politics Tags: Immigration AP, AP Mexico says Guard deployment beginning, forms migrant team MEXICO CITY (AP) — Mexican officials said Tuesday they are beginning deployment of the country’s new National Guard for immigration enforcement, an accelerated commitment of a 6,000-strong force made as part of an agreement with the United States to head off threatened U.S. tariffs on imports from Mexico.President Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Foreign Relations Secretary Marcelo Ebrard also announced that a team of five officials, including a general and a prison director, has been formed to implement the immigration plan.Ebrard said that Gen. Vicente Antonio Hernández Sánchez, commander of the Tapachula military zone near the border with Guatemala, will begin a tour of the south “to speed up the deployment in the area.”Cuban migrants land on the Mexican side of the Suchiate River on the border with Guatemala, after crossing on a raft near Ciudad Hidalgo, Mexico, early Tuesday, June 11, 2019. Mexican officials say they are beginning deployment of 6,000 National Guard troops for immigration enforcement, an accelerated commitment made as part of an agreement with the United States last week to head off threatened U.S. tariffs on imports from Mexico. (AP Photo/Marco Ugarte)The main objective is to register migrants, offer them options for regularizing their immigration status and return those who don’t want to register, he added.Ebrard did not mention detentions, which have risen notably in recent months, but said there is a need to expand and improve overcrowded immigration facilities that operate as de facto detention centers.Another deployment is going to the frontier with the United States to attend to migrants who have been returned to Mexico while their asylum claims are processed in U.S. courts.As part of the deal reached last Friday with Washington, Mexico agreed to an expansion of the program known as Migrant Protection Protocol, though the United States has run into its own logistical obstacles to ramping it up.There have been more than 11,000 returns by migrants to Mexico under MPP since it launched in January, according to the most recent figures from the Mexican government.Mexico’s National Guard is a newly formed force tasked with policing rising insecurity. It is separate from the military and is legally supposed to be under civilian command, though it is largely made up of current or former soldiers and federal police. Posted: June 11, 2019 FacebookTwitter
Congressional authority to shed unneeded facilities, including a new BRAC round, would go a long way toward helping the Army sustain its infrastructure amid tight budget constraints, Lt. Gen. David Halverson, the service’s assistant chief of staff for installation management, told lawmakers last month.“The challenge we have is that we can’t optimize our investments or optimize if we don’t have some authorities to study, like a BRAC, and how we can move forward,” Halverson told the House Armed Services’ Readiness Subcommittee during a Dec. 3 hearing on the impact of reducing funding for infrastructure and installation support.Halverson was responding to Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas), who asked how the Army’s estimate of excess infrastructure would change as its end strength drops.The service estimates that 18 percent of its infrastructure is excess under its current active-duty strength of 490,000 soldiers.“That is our best guess right now, and we have an order out for all of our garrison and our senior commanders to be able to look at their excess capacity,” Halverson said.Readiness Chairman Rep. Rob Wittman (R-Va.) pointed out that the new defense authorization bill directs the services to prepare a new capacity analysis. Without the authority to carry out a new BRAC round, DOD had been relying on the capacity analysis it conducted prior to the 2005 round since it had been prohibited from updating the earlier study.“We’ve asked them to do a detailed analysis so we can truly look at what the capacity is, where there’s overcapacity on a service branch by service branch basis. So we should have that information for next year,” Wittman said.The Army estimates its surplus capacity is forcing it to spend $480 million a year in operating costs unnecessarily, Halverson told O’Rourke. The Army’s end strength is slated to drop to 450,000 by the end of fiscal 2018, though. That would result in an estimated 21 percent excess capacity and $570 million in surplus facilities costs.A decade ago, the 2005 round of base closures helped the Army improve the overall condition of its installations, including ranges and other facilities.“What we’ve seen is that, with BRAC 2005, we had an increase, where we were from 19 percent up to 30 — 60 percent, and now we’re seeing a degradation of our readiness,” Halverson told the panel.“So we are seeing a dip in our Q ratings in our facilities because of decreased funding, or ability to do the sustainment and the restoration and modernization that we do need in some of our facilities,” he said.A webcast of the hearing is available on YouTube. Dan Cohen AUTHOR